Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.549122 1.922167 2.408927 3.111436 4.137519 5.650419 8.202596
2025-02-09 1.055336 1.444882 2.036264 3.069892 5.016706 9.061358 20.474304
2025-02-16 0.797536 1.156368 1.753569 2.938238 5.632034 13.182301 51.975159
2025-02-23 0.670065 1.017100 1.640052 3.020757 6.784392 21.585137 232.055060
2025-03-02 0.590849 0.932046 1.585757 3.188614 8.424520 39.389800 9296.241029
2025-03-09 0.519912 0.842783 1.491187 3.207251 9.712450 67.840192 NaN
2025-03-16 0.454309 0.749399 1.360419 3.062731 10.242380 102.124093 NaN
2025-03-23 0.420732 0.711032 1.338594 3.222601 12.606435 261.720016 NaN
2025-03-30 0.386004 0.663885 1.283905 3.253974 14.500905 733.630014 NaN
2025-04-06 0.351201 0.611078 1.203314 3.159704 15.493443 2117.958470 NaN
2025-04-13 0.322908 0.567994 1.137796 3.091960 16.715225 14093.595289 NaN
2025-04-20 0.312635 0.561884 1.164998 3.399502 22.905659 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.298534 0.545888 1.164213 3.609518 29.996272 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.279065 0.515314 1.117002 3.589709 34.165772 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.258293 0.479383 1.047965 3.432572 35.245595 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.246389 0.462712 1.031808 3.536716 44.066968 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.237857 0.452900 1.034045 3.746860 60.817867 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.226223 0.434281 1.005633 3.770296 73.312331 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.211896 0.407725 0.947970 3.589486 73.778810 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.205668 0.400448 0.950543 3.789566 106.670388 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.197210 0.386751 0.929789 3.828939 134.832753 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.187068 0.367928 0.889131 3.710740 144.321606 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.178240 0.351758 0.855228 3.626000 159.547112 NaN NaN